Conditional simulation & plan risk
Quantify the geological, grade and geometallurgical uncertainty behind budget plans, schedules and production commitments.
Typical problems
- Production commitments rest on a single deterministic model
- No measure of how likely the plan is to be met
- Unknown dilution and misclassification at the scale you mine
How we approach it
- Plurigaussian and indicator simulation of geology
- Sequential Gaussian and multivariate (PPMT) simulation of grades
- Risk by period, phase, bench and dig polygon
- Expected dilution and probability of meeting the plan


